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Heating: Propane, Electric & Heat Pumps · Compare

Propane vs. Heat Pump: Real Running Costs in Zone 5A

Propane prices swing; heat pumps move heat instead of burning it. Here's how to compare what each really costs to run in our climate.

A modern heat pump usually costs less to run than propane in our climate, but the honest answer depends on local propane prices, your electric rate, and how well your home holds heat. Here's how to compare them like an owner, not a brochure.

What you're actually comparing

Propane burns fuel to make heat; a heat pump moves heat using electricity, which is why it can deliver more heat energy than the electricity it consumes (its COP). The comparison isn't "gas vs. electric" — it's "buying gallons of propane at a swinging market price" vs. "buying kilowatt-hours to run an efficient machine."

When the heat pump wins

  • Propane prices are high or volatile. Heat pumps insulate you from per-gallon spikes.
  • You currently use electric resistance heat. A heat pump moves several times more heat per unit of electricity — this is usually the biggest win of all.
  • You want cooling too. A heat pump is your air conditioner in summer, so one system does both.

When propane still makes sense

  • You have a newer, efficient propane furnace and propane is locally cheap.
  • You want maximum heat output on the very coldest nights — which is exactly what a dual-fuel system gives you: heat pump for most of the season, propane backup for the extremes.

The cost drivers that actually move the needle

  1. Local fuel prices — propane per gallon and your electric rate. These vary by supplier and co-op, so we use your numbers, not averages.
  2. Equipment efficiency — a high-efficiency inverter heat pump changes the math versus an older unit.
  3. Your home's heat loss — a leaky pre-1980 house raises the cost of every fuel.
  4. Correct sizing — an oversized or undersized system wastes money no matter the fuel (right-sizing).

The failure mode to avoid

Don't switch fuels based on a national "heat pumps save X%" headline — those numbers aren't from our co-ops or our winters. And watch for expired incentives: the federal 25C/25D tax credits expired December 31, 2025, so we don't build them into 2026 pricing. Real local rebates, where they exist, come from your utility.

How we compare it for you

We'll run the comparison using your actual propane price, your electric rate, and a real heat-loss number for your home, then show propane, heat-pump, and dual-fuel options side by side. We're a Daikin Authorized Dealer, licensed and insured, and rated 5.0 across 10 Google reviews.

What to do next

Request a free heating comparison or call 660-947-3354, and we'll put real numbers to your home instead of national averages.

Heating cost estimator

What does it cost to heat your home out here?

There's no natural gas in our area — so compare propane, electric, a heat pump, and geothermal on a typical Zone 5A home. Edit the prices to match your own bill. These are estimates; your real number comes from a free in-home load calculation.

How big is your home?
How well does it hold heat?
What heats it now?
Regional avg ~$2.20 (EIA)
Regional avg ~$0.135 (EIA)

Estimated annual heating cost

~63 MMBtu/yr est. heat
  • GeothermalLowest running cost$550 – $700 /yr

    COP ~3.5–4.5. Highest efficiency; needs land for a ground or pond loop and a larger upfront cost.

  • Air-source heat pump$825 – $1,250 /yr

    seasonal COP ~2.0–3.0 (HSPF2). Cold-climate model; output dips in deep cold, which dual-fuel backup covers.

  • Propane (LP gas)Your setup now$1,600 – $1,675 /yr

    AFUE 90–95%. An older 80% furnace would run higher. Propane $/gal swings through the winter.

  • Electric resistance~$2,500 /yr

    100% (COP 1.0). Simple and reliable, but usually the most expensive way to heat out here.

Estimate only — a Zone 5A degree-day model on the home size and envelope you picked, at the prices shown. Defaults from EIA residential propane (MO/IA) and electricity (MO/IA) data. Not a quote, and it doesn't include any rebates. Your real numbers come from a free in-home Manual J load calculation.

Get my free in-home estimate Call 660-947-3354 Family-owned · serving north MO & south IA

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Is a heat pump cheaper to run than propane?
Often, yes — especially compared with electric resistance heat or when propane prices are high. Because a heat pump moves heat rather than burning fuel, it can deliver more heat energy than the electricity it uses. The exact comparison depends on local propane and electric prices and your home, which we calculate for you.
Are there tax credits to help switch from propane to a heat pump?
The federal 25C and 25D residential energy tax credits expired on December 31, 2025, so they are not available for systems installed in 2026. Some electric cooperatives or utilities offer their own rebates — we help you check with your provider for current local offers.
Will a heat pump keep up on the coldest days here?
A properly sized cold-climate heat pump heats efficiently well below freezing. For the most extreme cold snaps, a dual-fuel system pairs the heat pump with propane or electric backup so you're never short on heat.
What does it cost to heat a home in rural Missouri or Iowa?
It depends on your fuel, your home, and local prices. Out here heat comes from propane, electricity, a heat pump, or geothermal — not natural gas. An efficient heat pump or geothermal system usually has the lowest running cost, electric resistance the highest, with propane in between and swinging with the per-gallon price. The honest number for your home comes from a free in-home load calculation.
Is a heat pump really cheaper to run than propane here?
Often, yes — and almost always cheaper than electric resistance heat. A heat pump moves heat instead of burning fuel, so it can deliver two to three times more heat energy than the electricity it uses, even in our cold climate. The exact comparison depends on your propane price and electric rate, which is why this tool lets you enter your own.
Why are these costs shown as ranges instead of one number?
Because honest estimates are ranges. Equipment efficiency, your home's insulation, and fuel prices all vary, so a single dollar figure would be false precision. We show a band based on real efficiency ranges and cited regional prices, then confirm your actual number with a free Manual J load calculation.
Where do the default propane and electric prices come from?
From the U.S. Energy Information Administration: residential propane for Missouri and Iowa from the EIA Weekly Heating Oil & Propane Survey, and residential electricity for Missouri and Iowa from the EIA Electric Power Monthly. They're starting points you can edit — your co-op rate and propane supplier are what actually matter, and we use your numbers at the estimate.
Does this estimate include rebates or tax credits?
No. The federal 25C and 25D energy tax credits expired December 31, 2025, so they aren't available for 2026 and we don't build them into estimates. Any real local utility or co-op rebate is a bonus we help you check for at quote time — we never quote incentives that don't exist.

Next step · Act

Ready to go from reading to fixing it? These are the services our team installs and repairs across north Missouri & south Iowa — book a free estimate or call when you're ready.

Written by the Weston Heating & Cooling team. Reviewed for accuracy. Last updated June 29, 2026.